Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.147338 0.167736 0.190404 0.217543 0.249259 0.285280 0.329468
2025-12-14 0.114172 0.140984 0.173731 0.217033 0.273322 0.344752 0.443433
2025-12-21 0.094970 0.124196 0.162385 0.216687 0.293135 0.398780 0.559121
2025-12-28 0.083758 0.114674 0.157333 0.221722 0.318628 0.462665 0.700028
2026-01-04 0.074862 0.106471 0.152116 0.224593 0.340136 0.523211 0.848007
2026-01-11 0.067940 0.099878 0.147875 0.227588 0.361422 0.586234 1.013442
2026-01-18 0.062937 0.095355 0.145886 0.233380 0.387597 0.661474 1.217805
2026-01-25 0.057769 0.089851 0.141482 0.234235 0.404989 0.723925 1.412870
2026-02-01 0.053184 0.084703 0.136921 0.233951 0.419923 0.784117 1.618304
2026-02-08 0.048888 0.079535 0.131654 0.231519 0.430140 0.836588 1.820465
2026-02-15 0.045073 0.074773 0.126515 0.228526 0.438575 0.886688 2.030613
2026-02-22 0.042838 0.072530 0.125579 0.233371 0.463688 0.977612 2.368070
2026-03-01 0.039588 0.068210 0.120475 0.229490 0.470089 1.028733 2.621210
2026-03-08 0.037277 0.065400 0.117929 0.230534 0.487693 1.110617 2.989412
2026-03-15 0.035067 0.062566 0.115023 0.230404 0.502567 1.189109 3.376437
2026-03-22 0.033665 0.061137 0.114721 0.235848 0.531649 1.311324 3.949766
2026-03-29 0.032145 0.059330 0.113453 0.238937 0.555479 1.425179 4.543560
2026-04-05 0.030764 0.057673 0.112315 0.242157 0.580250 1.548069 5.225769
2026-04-12 0.029751 0.056668 0.112444 0.248381 0.614211 1.707536 6.127683
2026-04-19 0.028375 0.054793 0.110501 0.249299 0.633789 1.827594 6.930587
2026-04-26 0.027014 0.052837 0.108188 0.248995 0.649896 1.941004 7.766984
2026-05-03 0.025591 0.050635 0.105122 0.246380 0.658818 2.032793 8.555802
2026-05-10 0.024236 0.048481 0.101972 0.243164 0.665430 2.118712 9.368610